Saturday, February 25, 2017

My 2017 Oscar predictions

Tomorrow is the big day!  It always seems like the Academy Awards are forever away, in that the speculation of who's going to be nominated starts in early March for the following February.  In a way, the show can be anticlimactic because the precursors typically give us a very strong indication of who's winning what.  With that in mind, my predictions in the Best Picture, Director and Acting categories are as follows:

Best Picture
La La Land 
runner-up: Moonlight

Best Director:
Damien Chazelle (La La Land)
runner-up: Barry Jenkins (Moonlight)

Actress in a Leading Role
Emma Stone (La La Land)
runner-up: Isabelle Huppert (Elle)

Actor in a Leading Role
Denzel Washington (Fences)
runner-up: Casey Affleck (Manchester by the Sea)

Actress in a Supporting Role
Viola Davis (Fences)
runner-up: Michelle Williams (Manchester by the Sea)

Actor in a Supporting Role
Mahershala Ali (Moonlight)
runner-up: Dev Patel (Lion)

I personally would prefer Casey Affleck over Denzel Washington, but I just have a feeling that Denzel is gonna get the love from the Academy.  It's impossible to not predict Emma Stone, but Huppert is not out of it.  I can't imagine a scenario where Viola doesn't win, and although Mahershala Ali didn't get BAFTA, I think he'll snag this one.

Meryl's honor is of course breaking her own record with her 20th nomination.  What am I going to blog about after this weekend?!  Back to a bunch of speculation about future projects, probably.  My fav.

Enjoy the show!


  1. Are the runners up the people you think are second most likely?

    I'd love Huppert to surprise win. I read Viola said losing when you aren't a favourite is like falling from a first storey window. Losing when you're the favourite is akin to a fall from 100 storeys!

    Just made me think how hard it must be when everyone says you're gonna win, yet you don't!

    1. Actually, I have access to the ballots so I know who comes in second. Ha, yup the runners-up are who I think are mostly likely second. I kind of like putting more than one name so that if that second name wins I feel better about my first prediction losing. I'm excited for some surprises.

  2. WTF just happened? Was that a joke, of which the La La Land people were aware beforehand? Or was it just a sad coincidence reminiscent of what supposedly happened in some beauty pageant a year or so ago? Regardless, it ruined an otherwise somewhat enjoyable evening. If, as Warren Beatty explained, his hesitance at reading the winner was because it said "Emma Stone for La La Land", then whose name was in the ballot when she was announced winner? Inquiring minds want to know. Rob in the Canadian Rockies.

    1. That was crazy! I don't know why poor Warren Beatty is getting such a hard time as he didn't announce the wrong winner! Faye should have worn her glasses!

      Your predictions were very accurate Jeff! I'm glad Moonlight got the award in the end, La La Land didn't seem to have the same level of soul.

      I quite liked Meryl's dress, the colour suited her. Just sorry it was somewhat sullied by the stupid tabloid stories.

      My biggest pleasure of the night was Viola winning, I was very pleased for her. Even though she should have gone lead this time and supporting for The Help.. but hey ho, a win is a win!

      Now we just need to know what Meryl is doing next. I saw Imelda Staunton in Who's Afraid of Virginia Woolf? and she was incredible. I really want a dramatic turn from Meryl on stage in the not too distant future now all her children have left home.

    2. Yeah that was super bizarre but really shouldn't be a huge deal, other than it being rough on the La La Land people since they thought they won and then got it taken away. Beatty and Dunaway did nothing wrong, anyone would be confused. I too am looking forward to the future now for Meryl. As usual, I'm most concerned about her screen performances to that I can see them whenever I want, but stage would be good too. I hope we get some update on The Nix very soon.