The BAFTAs are a bit of an enigma for me at times. At others, I look at the results in hindsight and think "duh." More than the other "big three" awards shows, BAFTA tends very heavily to recognize British nominees. One might think that's to be expected, but it makes for a trickier prediction plan. The eligible films tend to vary as well. If a movie isn't given a wide release in the U.K. by year's end (I think), it isn't eligible for BAFTA awards. That's the same in the U.S. for Golden Globes, SAGs and Oscars. This year, the most obvious performance missing from the lineup due to eligibility is Isabelle Huppert in Elle. It will be interesting to see if she gets nominated next year. If she manages to win the Oscar this year, I can't imagine she doesn't at least get a nom. Ok, here are my acting predictions.
Actress in a Leading Role
Emma Stone (La La Land)
Seriously Meryl may have a chance here due to the U.K. connections of Florence Foster Jenkins (Stephen Frears, Hugh Grant, filmed in the U.K.), but unlikely. I'm seeing Jackie today but for some reason the buzz around Natalie Portman seems to have significantly dwindled.
Actor in a Leading Role
Casey Affleck (Manchester by the Sea)
I honestly think Denzel Washington will win the Oscar, but he was snubbed here (bizarre). So if Affleck doesn't win the BAFTA, I think it's game-set-match for Denzel at the Dolby.
Actress in a Supporting Role
Viola Davis (Fences)
Viola better win, but Naomie Harris also does a great job in Moonlight and she is English. Only possible alternative to Davis in my opinion.
Actor in a Supporting Role
Mahershala Ali (Moonlight)
I'm pretty confident here, but maybe Hugh Grant? His nomination may be seen as his one chance at an acting award, and since he didn't make the top five for Oscar (and he too is English), I wouldn't be shocked if it were him. Dev Patel could also surprise.
The ceremony evidently begins at 7:00 pm London time (1:00 pm CST U.S.), but it won't be broadcast on British TV until two hours later for whatever reason. I haven't seen anywhere to live stream, but I'm sure there will be something available if I dig around a bit. Enjoy!