Saturday, January 18, 2014

SAG predictions

Ok, I'm like 99% sure Meryl won't win tonight but I'm still riding high from her squeaking out a nomination from the Academy two days ago.  Since the SAGs only involve acting categories, I thought I'd list my entire predictions in order of liklihood of winning.

Best Ensmemble
1. American Hustle
2. 12 Years a Slave
3. August: Osage County
4. Dallas Buyer's Club
5. Lee Daniels' The Butler

Best Actress in a Leading Role
1. Cate Blanchett (Blue Jasmine)
2. Sandra Bullock (Gravity)
3. Judi Dench (Philomena)
4. Meryl Streep (August: Osage County)
5. Emma Thompson (Saving Mr. Banks)

Best Actor in a Leading Role
1. Matthew McConaughey (Dallas Buyer's Club)
2. Bruce Dern (Nebraska)
3. Chiwetel Ejiofor (12 Years a Slave)
4. Tom Hanks (Captain Phillips)
5. Forrest Whitaker (Lee Daniels' The Butler)

Best Actress in a Supporting Role
1. Lupita Nyong'o (12 Years a Slave)
2. Jennifer Lawrence (American Hustle)
3. Julia Roberts (August: Osage County)
4. June Squibb (Nebraska)
5. Oprah Winfrey (Lee Daniels' The Butler)

Best Actor in a Supporting Role
1. Jared Leto (Dallas Buyer's Club)
2. James Gandolfini (Enough Said)
3. Michael Fassbender (12 Years a Slave)
4. Barkhad Abdi (Captain Phillips)
5. Daniel Brühl (Rush)

I may be kicking myself for picking Nyong'o over Lawrence, but hey, Lupita won Critics' Choice two nights ago.  Plus I just don't want to vote for Jennifer Lawrence anymore.  James Gandolfini may be a spoiler, as voters have a tendency to award actors posthumously.   Also watch for Dern.  Although I have him in second place, he's been around for a long time and this is an opportunity for actors to give him his due.  I'd be shocked if Cate Blanchett didn't win.  She better.   


  1. Well you were just spot on Jeff! Blanchett is all but a certainty now. If you were a betting man you could make some money.. :)

    That said, a SAG win for August's cast would have been a nice compliment to the film which is unlikely to win anywhere else.

    The only real surprises for me were the Dames picking up the TV SAG's, especially Mirren who hasn't won anything in ages really.

    1. Isn't it interesting, particularly on for women, how these tv roles are predominantly in the hands of film stars? Better writing on television and as Tina Fey said, "there are still roles for Meryl Streeps over 60."

    2. It is, I remember Glenn Close said something similar about TV a few years ago. I seriously doubt Meryl will be in a TV series though given how big she is in films..

      That Tina Fey joke was a little cutting IMO, I'm sure there's a fair amount of jealousy that not only does Meryl get the plum roles in adaptations of critically acclaimed plays and highly successful stage musicals as well as best-selling books and tailored made rom-coms but also hasn't yet gone ignored by the awards circuit like some of her contemporaries.

      I can imagine a lot have stopped voting for her because of this.