Saturday, January 11, 2014

Golden Globe predictions

Gird your loins, folks.  Tomorrow it gets real.  We all know Meryl is nominated for August: Osage County in the Musical/Comedy Lead Actress category at the Golden Globes.  I'm skeptical about Meryl's chances for pulling out a win here, unfortunately.  Picking Amy Adams, however, is tricky because if I had to bet I'd predict Meryl over Adams for an Oscar nom come Thursday.  American Hustle has been surging with popularity, and with Adams's nom over Meryl at BAFTA earlier this week, I'll have to seriously consider changing my mind regarding Oscar predictions(!) if Amy pulls out a win tomorrow night.  I think there's an outside chance for Julia Louis-Dreyfuss to be awarded, but it's slim.  Here are my predictions (ranked in order of most likely to win) for the Lead Actress categories:

Drama
1. Cate Blanchett (Blue Jasmine)
2. Sandra Bullock (Gravity)
3. Judi Dench (Philomena)
4. Emma Thompson (Saving Mr. Banks)
5. Kate Winslet (Labor Day)

Musical/Comedy
1. Amy Adams (American Hustle)
2. Meryl Streep (August: Osage County)
3. Julia Louis-Dreyfuss (Enough Said)
4. Julie Delpy (Before Midnight)
5. Greta Gerwig (Frances Ha)

2 comments:

  1. I obviously want Meryl to win and feel she deserves it but I can just imagine the furore if Adams wins tonight and misses out on the Oscar nomination.

    I have found a real undercurrent of resentment towards Meryl coming from some circles this season that I have never detected before. One journalist suggested that she shouldn't be nominated anymore as she is blocking the recognition of younger stars and another genius who posited that Meryl's speech about Walt Disney was designed to derail Emma Thompson's Oscar campaign. It's laughable

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    1. Critics can be such idiots. Give credit where credit is due. If they always gave awards to the best performance Meryl would have eight Oscars by now. I can understand wanting to get newcomers in there, but this is a strange year where there will likely be no first time nominee. The notion of Meryl trying to derail Emma Thompson's chances is pure bollocks. Sasha Stone did a great piece on that: http://www.awardsdaily.com/blog/dear-awards-season-you-so-got-meryl-streep-wrong/.

      Meryl is, and will continue to be, the gold standard for performances. If she delivers a great one and is unrecognized, it frankly hurts the integrity and credibility of that awarding body in my opinion.

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