Emmanuelle Riva (Amour)
Helen Mirren (Hitchcock)
Jennifer Lawrence (Silver Linings Playbook)
Jessica Chastain (Zero Dark Thirty)
Marion Cotillard (Rust and Bone)
With the Oscar nominations already coming out tomorrow morning (first time they've come out prior to Globes ceremony, at least that I'm aware of), we have a pretty good idea of who will be the top five. My predictions for tomorrow's lineup for Actress in a Leading role are:
Naomi Watts (The Impossible)
But seriously, after Lawrence and Chastain, there really aren't any sure things. I'm reasonably confident(?) in Cotillard and much less so in Watts. Riva could VERY easily be replaced by Helen Mirren (who's been nominated for Globe, SAG and BAFTA) or Quevenzhane Wallis (Beasts of the Southern Wild). Riva for me is a bit of a long shot to be honest, but she's gotten quite a bit of critics' recognition and it's fun to speculate and be one of the minority who gets all five correct. I wish I could be predicting Meryl, but it's not going to happen. Next year.