This week we've seen awards given out by the New York Film Critics Circle and National Board of Review. As most of you know, although I enjoy seeing how all categories turn out, my blogging efforts will focus on the Best Actress race, particularly as it pertains to Meryl. I concede that Meryl will NOT be winning an Oscar this season for her work in Hope Springs. Even a nomination would be a huge surprise. With that, we are highly unlikely to see her name mentioned by any critics' groups. As I've stated before, we can however expect her to get a Golden Globe nomination for Actress in a Musical or Comedy.
Keeping an eye on how these critics' awards play out can help us get a sense if there's any chance for Meryl beyond the Globes. The NYFCC awarded Rachel Weisz for her work in Deep Blue Sea. From what I've read, it took multiple ballots to reach that conclusion, with Jennifer Lawrence for Silver Linings Playbook (which I'm seeing with Joe and Scooter tomorrow) a close second and Jessica Chastain for Zero Dark Thirty not far behind that. Today the NBR awarded Chastain their prize. I think we can realistically expect that Chastain and Lawrence are good bets for Oscar nominations (sort of old news). Weisz, despite this win, would be a tougher sell, but this certainly didn't hurt her chances.
Meryl is now out of the top ten on Gold Derby, even behind Laura Linney. Really? Well, things could shake up next week, as both the Globe and SAG nominations are revealed. Meryl is almost a sure thing for a Golden Globe nomination, but far less likely for SAG. If by some strange scenario Meryl happens to get nominated for a SAG, then her chances at a 18th Oscar nomination will skyrocket. Until then, we'll just continue to let the results roll in. The Los Angeles Film Critics Association announces on Sunday.