My Oscar predictions

The night has arrived.  Meryl of course isn't up for anything, but we know she'll be presenting Best Actor in a Leading Role, undoubtedly to Daniel Day-Lewis.   I read an article today that confirmed she was at rehearsals.   Day-Lewis's category is one of few this year that seem like a slam dunk, so without further ado, my predictions are as follows in the top six categories:

Best Picture: Argo
Best Director: Ang Lee (Life of Pi)
Best Actor in a Leading Role: Daniel-Day Lewis (Lincoln)
Best Actress in a Leading Role:  Emmanuelle Rive (Amour)
Best Actor in a Supporting Role: Tommy Lee Jones (Lincoln)
Best Actress in a Supporting Role: Anne Hathaway (Les Miserables)

The only three I feel confident about are Day-Lewis, Hathaway, and Argo for picture.   Director may go to Steven Spielberg for Lincoln.  Riva is a risky choice and it's very possible that Jennifer Lawrence will take it, but I just have a gnawing feeling it'll be Riva.  It would be a nice 86th birthday present for her, plus I kind of want to see if David O. Russell (director of Silver Linings) throws a fit if Riva takes it over Lawrence.    Supporting actor is probably tougher, as many are predicting Robert DeNiro (Silver Linings), but if it's not Jones, I think it's more likely to be Christoph Waltz for Django Unchained.  He gave the best performance among the five, despite it arguably being a lead role, in my opinion.

It's been a while since there have been so many uncertainties among the top categories.  That makes for an exciting show.  Happy Meryl watching, everybody.