Saturday, January 28, 2017

My 2017 SAG predictions

 The Screen Actors Guild Awards are tomorrow night, so of course I have to post my film winner predictions.  It's fun this year that every category doesn't seem like an absolute slam dunk.  Without further ado:

Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture

I think Fences is a close second here, mostly because of the very strong performances of Denzel Washington and Viola Davis.  Moonlight is the better film in my opinion, and not dominated by one or two powerhouse roles.  Manchester by the Sea has the most nominations (3), but I actually think they'll come in 3rd.

Actress in a Leading Role
Emma Stone (La La Land)

I truly would not be shocked if Meryl took this, remembering that the voters include only actors and her Golden Globes speech probably spoke most closely to them, as far as industry insiders go.  Awarding Streep could be a political statement, and then they'll give the Oscar to Emma.

Actor in Leading Role
Casey Affleck (Manchester by the Sea)

Denzel is a very close second for me here.

Actress in a Supporting Role
Viola Davis (Fences)

Will win.

Actor in a Supporting Role
Mahershala Ali (Moonlight)

Maybe not as guaranteed as Viola, but pretty close.


  1. After seeing pictures of Meryl in London with the Mary Poppins Returns team, I worry that she may not be in attendance! I had the same thought about the possibility of a Meryl upset thanks to the support for her speech and defense of her status in the face of the "overrated" nonsense... would be disappointing if she pulled it off and was not there to make another beautiful awards moment!

  2. Great acceptance by John Lithgow, acknowledging Meryl's Golden Globe speech. I imagine there will be lots of Trumpweets tomorrow naming even more over-rated actors.

    1. Well done with the predictions! I'm guessing Denzel is a massive contender for his 3rd win now!

    2. Yup Denzel is in a really good spot. I'd love for Casey to win though since I loved that film so much.

  3. Jeff, I think you and I know each other since a long time ago. You totally nailed my exact same thoughts in this entry and the ones before. Great job!

  4. The Best Actor race will be interesting to follow. I think that Casey Affleck, Ryan Gosling and Denzel Washington are major conteders now. There is a lobby against Affleck in Hollywood due to alleged past events, but we know the SAG awards are the less precise indicator to predict the Oscars. Can we have a surprise in this category? Let's see...