Saturday, January 9, 2016

Golden Globe predictions

Awards season officially starts tomorrow with the Golden Globes!  I realize that Meryl isn't even nominated this year, but I always like to throw in my two cents on whom I think will get recognized. I've placed an asterisk* next to the names of those I think will take the trophy. As is my wont, I'm only concerning myself with the acting categories for film.

Best Actor (Drama) 
1. Bryan Cranston  (Trumbo)
2. Leonardo DiCaprio* (The Revenant)
3. Michael Fassbender (Steve Jobs)
4. Eddie Redmayne (The Danish Girl)
5. Will Smith (Concussion)

Best Actress (Drama)
1. Cate Blanchett (Carol)
2. Brie Larson* (Room)
3. Rooney Mara (Carol)
4. Saoirse Ronan (Brooklyn)
5. Alicia Vikander (The Danish Girl)

Best Actor (Musical or Comedy)
1. Christian Bale (The Big Short)
2. Steve Carell (The Big Short)
3. Matt Damon* (The Martian)
4. Al Pacino (Danny Collins)
5. Mark Ruffalo (Infinitely Polar Bear)

Best Actress (Musical or Comedy)
1. Jennifer Lawrence (Joy)
2. Amy Schumer* (Trainwreck)
3. Melissa McCarthy (Spy)
4. Maggie Smith (The Lady in the Van)
5. Lily Tomlin (Grandma)

Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture
1. Paul Dano (Love & Mercy)
2. Idris Elba (Beasts of No Nation)
3. Mark Rylance (Bridge of Spies)
4. Michael Shannon (99 Homes)
5. Sylvester Stallone* (Creed)

Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture
1. Jane Fonda (Youth)
2. Jennifer Jason Leigh (The Hateful Eight)
3. Helen Mirren (Trumbo)
4. Alicia Vikander* (Ex Machina)
5. Kate Winslet (Steve Jobs)

Couple things: The Martian is not a comedy.  After seeing Joy however, I take back what I said about that not being enough of a comedy to be in that category.  Mark Rylance could totally take it from Stallone, and Jennifer Jason Leigh might prevail over Vikander.  I really hope I'm right about Amy Schumer, and wouldn't mind at all if Saoirse Ronan beat out Brie Larson.

Of course I still believe that Meryl's performance in Ricki and the Flash was a no-brainer for a nom, but a year off will make next year more enticing.  I also believe that had Master Class been made, Meryl would be in the running tomorrow for Actress in a Limited Series or Motion Picture Made for Television. Alas, we came up empty this go-around.  Congrats and good luck to all the nominees.

21 comments:

  1. Would love to see Smith or Tomlin take home a globe but let's see. Do you think poor Lady Gaga would have lost her spot in the Best Actress limited series for Meryl? Haha. I hope Felicity Huffman wins in that category this year - still disappointed she failed to win the Oscar for Transamerica...

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    2. Ugh, totally agreed on Huffman re Transamerica. I picked Schumer and love her, but have a similar feeling to yours about Lily Tomlin. And yes, probably no Gaga had Meryl been up for Maria Callas. It still pains me!

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  2. I would hope a win for Lily Tomlin. As for Oscar, I'm rooting for a nom and win for Charlotte Ramping....I just watched 45 years and that to me is the best performance by an actress this year...subtle, layered and unflinching. Miles ahead of Larson / Ronan in my opinion, and can rival Blanchett in Carol.

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    1. I'm really looking forward to seeing 45 Years. Seen a preview a couple time now before other films and she looks fantastic. I loved Ronan in Brooklyn.

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  3. I'm rooting for Leonardo DiCaprio for actor. The Revenant was filmed around where I live. The fort was built 13 kms from my house. Unfortunately, it was torn down after filming completed, but I have photos of it during and after construction. If you'd like a "Revenant" tour of the Rockies, let me know! BTW, Brokeback Mountain was also filmed around here. Happy New Year and Happy Golden Globe Day from Rob in the Canadian Rockies of Alberta.

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    1. Ooo fun connection. I don't know if I've ever commented on Leo on the blog before, but I've always had a bit of trouble being convinced in his movies. I enjoy him, really enjoy many of his films, but I always see "him." I think it's his speech. He sounds the same to be no matter what voice he tries to use. That is possibly the single most distracting thing for me in acting...if it feels like someone is trying to do a voice. Leo's speech is just too distinct to me. Brad Pitt and Julianne Moore somewhat similar in that regard for me. I'm ready for the backlash re Moore. ha.

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    2. But Moore's accent in 30 rock was so good?

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    3. Jeff, I get what you're saying about Leo. My sentiments exactly....not just the voice but his charisma seems homogeneous no matter what role he plays...it may sometimes be a tad overwhelming. That's why I love actresses like Meryl, Cate, etc....their ability to manipulate their voices is just so astounding!

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    4. JMLA, I'm afraid it wasn't.

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    5. Uh oh Jeff!

      Very few actors can completely shed themselves and make us forget who we're seeing. I imagine it's even harder still when you're massively famous...

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    6. Long Winded PessimistJanuary 10, 2016 at 11:11 PM

      I sort of feel the same about Leo as I do about Jack Nicolson. Excellent actors- but their charisma always shines through.. Same with Denzel I guess. I just don't see them in the same light as Meryl, Blanchett or Tilda Swinton who are much better chameleons.

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  4. Long Winded PessimistJanuary 10, 2016 at 10:34 PM

    Well that show was a complete mess even by Golden Globes standards. Some of those winners were ridiculous. Lady Gaga? Really I'm most pissed about the Jennifer Lawrence win. I was so hoping for Tomlin or Smith. I just can't get on her bandwagon. So overrated in my opinion. I cannot stand the constant "next Meryl Streep" label (really if anyone can come near Streep in terms of quality its probably Blanchett). I wish she would just go away and Meryl would come back. I selfishly hate having her missing from awards season... and its even worse knowing there's nothing on the horizon. I want to believe in FFF because of Frears but we know next to nothing about it. I'm just so addicted to following awards season that its hard to stop even though it pains me to see Meryl left out from it. I don't like viewing acting as a competition, but its hard to see someone like Lawrence winning all the time now when Meryl hasn't won a competitive award in years. So desperate for new project news!

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    1. I'm with ya, LWP. Lawrence was the last person I wanted to win. Was hoping for Schumer or Tomlin. She is NOT the next Meryl, and yes, if anyone is close to Meryl's expertise, it's Blachett. Meryl should've been there this year with Ricki. Despite your feelings on the film, the performance absolutely should've gotten a Globe nod. Florence will get us back on track and we will have confirmation of a new project by mid year.

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    2. It wasn't just JLaw. Once Kate Winslet won, I knew they were going with the "star power". So, Stallone, Gaga, Sorkin, Damon, Writing's on the Wall, Taraji, etc., etc.... It was all pre-ordained. Which left me thinking Leo would win, but I thought they'd go with Ridley Scott for director, but I guess they thought they had to give the award to Revenant's director because he didn't win last year. Even though I have seen none of the movies and almost none of the TV programmes, I was still able to guess about 85-90% of the winners. Mostly based on that first award going to Kate Winslet. SAD.

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    3. Long Winded PessimistJanuary 10, 2016 at 11:05 PM

      I completely agree that she should've been nominated for Ricki. Despite the fact that the movie pretty much flopped- her performance was great. And I'm pretty sure its higher rated on RT than Joy too. So done with the JLaw hype. Everyone's always tired of Meryl "winning" that I think people forget that she doesn't win that often- hasn't in 4 years now. JLaw is now 3/4 at the Globes, it's ridiculous. I just wish Meryl would have a great performance again... these last few years have been so mediocre. I'm just worried that this bad streak will continue now that Meryl's reached a certain age and will just continue as she gets older. Is the hold-up because there are no good scripts out there for a woman her age or something? I just don't understand it.
      Sometimes I wonder if it's partly her fault that she's involved in so many mediocre films. Does she avoid all of the best directors because she can't control them or something? Do they avoid her? Is it just a lack of good enough scripts for a woman her age? I mean, she's never in the most talked about films. She's usually the only draw. The older she gets the harder that's going to be to keep up I fear.

      I don't know. All I know is I miss seeing her be brilliant in something worth watching. Why do you say we'll know something by mid year? At this rate she'll have nothing coming out in 2017 at all.

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    4. LWP,I don't have inside information that we will have official news of a project by mid year. But if one considers that even if Meryl did not film anything until fall 2017 (which would be over two years from her last film), it would most likely have to be announced sometime in 2016, most likely in the summer or early fall I imagine.

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  5. Well, Leo won. And I'm surprised The Revenant took Movie and Director. It was nice to hear them finally admit that conditions in the "Canadian wilderness" (11 kms from a major town) weren't so bad and that they'd had to move to Argentina to film the end of the movie. The winter of 2014-15, when they were filming, was one of the mildest we've had here. I know they had to import snow makers near the fort they built. So, to hear finally that they are admitting that global warming was a detriment to their filming is good. Leo is despised by many oil industry types here in Alberta because of his vocal opposition to the oil industry. But, this was countered by the reports on many movie blogs of how Leo complained about how grueling the filming had been because of the bad, cold weather, during a year which was one of the mildest on record. It is good to hear them finally acknowledging that it wasn't so bad. I still hope he wins the Oscar. I think his best performances have been Gilbert Grape, Blood Diamond, and The Departed. I haven't seen The Revenant yet. I'm surprised you've never discussed Leo before, as he was in Marvin's Room. I'd have to check through all your posts again to see if he's been mentioned. Anyway, the offer is still open... you want to see the sites of The Revenant, let me know.

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  6. I can NEVER fathom how anyone can speak of Jlaw and Meryl in the same breath of admiration. One is serviceable and competent at best, the other is transcendent. Blanchett, yes. JLaw, a full-fledged NO! Can you compare her best work (Winter's bone) to Silkwood or Cry in the dark? Don't think so.

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  7. I have to agree The Globes were going in for the star power last night. The most egregious win, however, was surely The Bond theme - which was dismal.

    I was disappointed Lawrence won yet again and may even be up for her 4th Oscar- Emmanuelle Riva should have won for 2012 (a relatively weak year) and Lawrence should have won her Oscar for her supporting turn in Hustle in 2013 IMO.
    Her GG nom is the one I would have replaced with Meryl this year - the fact she actually won is testament to how popular she is right now, nothing more.

    I have confidence that Florence can be the big score we need, I hope it gets shown at at least one festival and has good promo.

    Pessimist I get what you're saying but I think Osage County and Hope Springs were both strong films in their own right and Into The Woods was fairly entertaining. This hasn't been a terrible chapter in Meryl's career. Like Jeff says, unless there's really nothing out there I'm sure we'll get some confirmation soon enough.

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  8. Guys calm down a little bit and don't get too defensive with Meryl about everything. JLaw is still very young and has shown a ton of potential. Don't give her a hard time, she's only starting. I personally think her win was very deserving. Joy is her most mature role to date, she was fantastic, and completely owned the film. Nobody can really now if she's the next Meryl, time will only tell. Meryl is my #1 but JLaw has a lot of talent as well that I strongly believe she will develop much more in the future.

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